Congress passed the Adam Walsh Act, a federal law that requires states to include children as young as
age 14 on registries — often for the rest of their lives — in an attempt to protect our children from sexual violence. But the Adam Walsh Act won’t keep our children safe. Instead, this law will consume
valuable law enforcement resources, needlessly target children and families, and undermine the very purpose of the juvenile justice system. Thankfully, states can opt out of compliance with this law, and make smart investments in programs and policies that will actually protect our children and our communities
The Static-99 and related procedures (Static-2002, Static-2002R, and Static-
99R) are the most frequently used actuarial instruments for assessing sexual-recidivism
risk. We analyze the original 15-year recidivism data for the Static-99 and all of the
subsequent “norms” included in datasets from http://www.static99.org3 and published articles.
We use frequency tables to construct traditional 2 X 2 contingency tables for the
datasets. We report and analyze corrected values for the Static-2002 dataset that was
incorrectly presented in Hanson, Helmus, and Thornton (2010). We use traditional test
utilities to seek optimal cutoff scores in order to maximize overall accuracy. We provide
summary tables showing optimal cutoff scores for all four instruments. We provide an
example that illustrates how an evaluator could use traditional methods for classification
and prediction tests to report positive predictive value (PPV), with associated confidence
intervals, as recommended by Heilbrun, Douglas, and Yasuhara (2009).
Maximizing Risk Assessments
The current economic situation is causing many states to face difficult budget choices. Policymakers across the country are realizing that the expense of incarcerating so many people—states spent $52 billion on corrections in FY2008—is reducing resources available for investments in social structures, like education and healthcare. As a result, many states are developing new and innovative ways to trim their prison populations, reduce the likelihood that a released person will commit a new offense and lower revocation rates so fewer people return to prison once released.
Risk assessment tool
NE – RAI
Associated instruction manual
NE – RAM
Fairview Heights, IL (October 11, 2010) Given this is election season, it is to be expected that those running
will play the sex offender card, either by saying “I am tough on sex offenders” or “My opponent is soft on sex
offenders.” It is the responsibility of our lawmakers to ensure the bills they sponsor are actually effective and
not just drafted as “feel good” measures.
In a few recent articles, Attorney General Lisa Madigan states they are going after sex offenders who view
child pornography as if this is the most important thing to do in order to protect children. While I appreciate
her efforts to “crack down on sex offenders,” she is misleading the public and quoting statistics that are
• A recent article quoted, “Studies have shown that users of child pornography are more likely to also be
sexual abusers of children, according to Madigan’s office.” However, research (BMC Psychiatry, July 2009)
has shown, “For people without a prior conviction for a hands-on sex offense, the consumption of child
pornography alone does not, in itself, seem to represent a risk factor for committing such an offense.”
IL – System is broken
Experience should teach us to be most on our guard to protect liberty when the Government‘s purposes are beneficent. Men born to freedom are naturally alert to repel invasion of their liberty by evil-minded rulers. The greatest dangers to liberty lurk in insidious encroachment by men of zeal, well-meaning but without understanding.
Putting the Brakes On